Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Keyd and paiN Academy are scheduled to meet in the Quarterfinal 2 match of the CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs on 23 May at 3:00PM ET, with the winner advancing further in the tournament bracket. The match is a best-of-three series within a regional competition that feeds into broader Counter-Strike competitive circuits. Settlement occurs by 24 May at 01:00 UTC, allowing a narrow window for match completion and result confirmation.
The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally high confidence in match completion or limited trading activity establishing a baseline. Historical precedent in CCT South America events shows consistent fixture delivery, though regional tournaments occasionally experience scheduling shifts or technical delays. Keyd enters as the favoured side based on recent roster composition and regional ranking, though paiN Academy has demonstrated competitive capability in qualifying rounds. The absence of recent injury reports or roster changes for either team suggests both sides are operationally ready.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements and team social media for any last-minute postponements, which remain the primary settlement risk. Technical issues during broadcast—common in regional esports—typically do not prevent match completion if teams remain available. The tight settlement window means delays beyond 24 May would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Confirmation of final scores will depend on official tournament administration records rather than preliminary broadcast calls.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: Keyd vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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