Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Sunderland AFC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chelsea FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sunderland AFC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chelsea FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Sunderland AFC will host Chelsea FC in a Premier League fixture on 24 May 2026, with the match kicking off at 11:00 AM ET. The 66% implied probability for "more markets" reflects trader confidence that additional betting markets will be offered on this fixture beyond standard match outcomes. This settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on match day, creating a tight window for resolution once the fixture concludes.
Historical precedent suggests Premier League matches of this profile—involving a top-six club (Chelsea) travelling to a mid-table side—typically generate expanded market offerings from major sportsbooks. The fixture's late-season timing (final day of the 2025–26 campaign) increases the likelihood of extended market coverage, as both clubs' final league positions may still be undecided. Comparable May fixtures between established Premier League sides have consistently triggered additional markets covering player performance, corner counts, and card totals within hours of official kick-off.
Traders should monitor sportsbook announcements in the 48 hours preceding the match. Chelsea's form and injury status heading into the final week will influence market depth; a side fighting for European qualification typically attracts deeper liquidity and more niche markets. Sunderland's position in the table—whether they remain in a relegation battle or are mathematically safe—will similarly affect bookmaker appetite for extended offerings. Recent regulatory changes in UK gambling have also expanded permissible market types, making additional offerings more probable than in previous seasons.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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