Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Indonesia (-1.5) | 0% Indonesia | 100% Mozambique |
| Mozambique (-1.5) | 0% Mozambique | 100% Indonesia |
| Indonesia (-2.5) | 0% Indonesia | 100% Mozambique |
| Mozambique (-2.5) | 0% Mozambique | 100% Indonesia |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
A FIFA International Friendly between Indonesia and Mozambique is scheduled for 9 June 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. The market asks whether additional betting or trading markets will be created for this fixture beyond standard match-outcome offerings. The 0% implied probability suggests traders currently assess the likelihood of supplementary markets—such as goal-scorer props, corner counts, or card totals—as negligible or non-existent.
Historical precedent indicates that friendlies involving lower-ranked nations rarely attract the depth of market coverage reserved for competitive tournaments or matches between established football powers. Indonesia ranks 142nd in the FIFA standings whilst Mozambique sits at 124th; neither nation commands the commercial attention that drives bookmakers to develop extended market menus. Comparable June friendlies in prior years have typically received only basic three-way moneyline markets from major operators, with prop markets confined to high-profile encounters or qualifying fixtures. The absence of qualifying status or continental championship context further reduces incentive for market proliferation.
The settlement window closes 9 June 2026 at 13:00 UTC, allowing roughly four hours post-kickoff for market data to crystallise. Traders should monitor whether either federation announces the match's commercial significance or broadcast reach in the weeks preceding the fixture. Bookmaker announcements regarding market availability—typically published via operator websites or industry publications such as eGamingReview—will serve as the primary catalyst. Fixture postponement or cancellation would eliminate the possibility of additional markets entirely, though no such disruptions have been reported as of current scheduling.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $150K.
Methodology
This page tracks Indonesia vs. Mozambique - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Indonesia vs. Mozambique - More Markets on Trump Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Trump Prediction →