LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

RED Canids and FURIA Esports will contest the League of Legends upper bracket final of Brazil's CBLOL Playoffs on 24 May, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The best-of-five match is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring by 22:00 UTC the same day. Current market pricing implies a 25 per cent probability of RED Canids victory, reflecting FURIA's status as the favoured side heading into the fixture.

FURIA have maintained stronger regular-season performance and head-to-head records against RED Canids in recent CBLOL seasons, establishing a historical baseline for the implied odds. RED Canids' path to the upper bracket final involved defeating lower-seeded opponents, whereas FURIA secured a higher seed through consistent domestic results. The 3-to-1 underdog pricing for RED Canids aligns with typical market assessments when a lower-seeded team faces a higher-seeded favourite in elimination fixtures, though the best-of-five format introduces variance compared to single-game matchups.

Traders should monitor team roster stability and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 12:00 PM ET start time, as mid-season roster changes have occasionally affected CBLOL team performance. Recent patch updates to League of Legends that favour particular champions or playstyles could shift preparation advantages between the sides. The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on 24 May; any technical delays extending beyond seven days without a completed result would trigger a 50-50 resolution, though such outcomes remain uncommon in CBLOL scheduling.

Methodology

This page tracks LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.