Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Minnesota United FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Real Salt Lake (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Minnesota United FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Real Salt Lake (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Minnesota United FC will face Real Salt Lake in a Major League Soccer fixture on 23 May 2026 at 4:30 PM Eastern Time. The market's 0% implied probability suggests traders anticipate no additional betting markets will be offered for this specific match, despite the platform's stated intention to expand coverage. This positioning reflects either high confidence in the existing market suite or uncertainty about whether supplementary wagering options will materialise before the settlement window closes.
Historical precedent from MLS coverage on prediction platforms shows that additional markets typically emerge only when there is sufficient liquidity demand or when the fixture carries playoff implications. Regular-season matches between mid-table teams rarely trigger secondary market creation unless one club is in contention for postseason qualification. Real Salt Lake finished 2025 in mid-table standing, whilst Minnesota United's trajectory suggests neither club will be fighting for playoff positioning by late May 2026, reducing the commercial incentive for market expansion.
Traders should monitor MLS scheduling announcements and any late-season developments that might elevate this match's significance. If either club unexpectedly enters playoff contention by April 2026, platform operators may respond by introducing goal-scorer, corner, or card markets. The settlement window's proximity to the match itself—less than two weeks before kickoff—means any catalyst would need to emerge within the next fortnight to influence market creation decisions. Recent platform activity on comparable mid-table fixtures suggests the current probability reflects realistic assessment of demand rather than prediction of market failure.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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