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Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B

"Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B" — live political-market odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $231K Liquidity: $258K Closes: 24 May 2026
Trade on PolyGram →

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.

Active sub-markets

Market context

ALGO Esports face Omega in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match within the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B, scheduled for 24 May 2026. The match forms part of a qualifying group stage where teams compete for advancement in a regional European tournament structure. The 0% implied probability suggests either minimal trading activity or strong market conviction that the match will not resolve under standard conditions.

Historical precedent for esports match resolution centres on fixture completion rates and team availability. In established Counter-Strike tournament structures, group-stage matches typically proceed as scheduled unless organisational or technical failures occur. The Thunderpick World Championship has maintained operational consistency across previous iterations, though European regional series have occasionally experienced scheduling adjustments due to player roster changes or venue logistics. Comparable tournaments show that outright cancellations remain uncommon once matches enter the group stage proper, with most resolution occurring through standard play.

Traders should monitor tournament announcements from Thunderpick's official channels regarding any fixture postponements or team withdrawals in the days preceding 24 May. The settlement window extends to 23:00 UTC on the scheduled date, providing a defined resolution window. Key dependencies include both teams' participation confirmations and platform infrastructure stability. Recent esports tournament coverage indicates that European regional qualifiers have maintained fixture integrity, though unexpected roster issues or organisational changes can emerge with limited notice. Any announcements regarding ALGO Esports or Omega's participation status would directly affect market resolution mechanics.

Methodology

This page tracks Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group B across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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