Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
67% | 33% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
67% | 33% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 67% YES | 34% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 58% YES | 42% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 64% YES | 37% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons and Legacy are due to meet in the upper-bracket final of CS Asia Championships Group A, a best-of-three that will decide which side moves on with the stronger path through the event. The market is priced with Falcons at 66% to win, but the recent head-to-head context is awkward for that view: Legacy already beat Falcons 2-0 in this tournament run, and the Skin.Club report on that series said both maps went to the closing stages before Legacy closed them out. That makes the current price look less like a routine favourite’s edge and more like a verdict on whether Falcons can reverse a live matchup they have already lost once on the same stage.
For traders, the main catalyst is simply whether Falcons can adjust in a rematch after that upper-bracket loss, rather than any external schedule change or off-table development. Polymarket lists the fixture as the CS Asia Championships Group A upper-bracket final, while GosuGamers has the match set for 22 May 2026 at 03:00, so the key dependency is whether the series starts and finishes within the settlement window. If the match proceeds as scheduled, the strongest read should still come from the earlier tournament result and how close those maps were, rather than from broad pre-match sentiment. A preview from EGamersWorld nevertheless leaned Falcons 2-1, which shows there is still a live case for a rebound even after Legacy’s earlier win.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS As… on PolyGram
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