Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: LVG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Lynn Vision and Ninjas in Pyjamas are set to meet in a best-of-three lower-bracket knockout at the CS Asia Championships in Shanghai. With the crowd-implied probability at 0% for Lynn Vision, the market is effectively pricing the Chinese side as a clear outsider, even though the match context is not a routine group fixture but an elimination game. In that sort of setting, map vetoes and travel familiarity can matter more than headline rankings, especially in a home event where Lynn Vision have already had more stage time than many expected.
The main reference point is the recent form around the event itself. GosuGamers lists Lynn Vision’s opening Group B result against NiP as a 2-1 live scoreline on 21 May, while HLTV-backed market language on Kalshi indicates that the scheduled NiP v Lynn Vision market was tied to that same May 21 slot and resolved from verified results. That makes any trading on this market dependent on whether the lower-bracket pairing has already been played or is still awaiting formal completion in the tournament feed. For traders, the catalyst to watch is the official event schedule and result verification from HLTV or the organiser, because a completed BO3 would settle the market immediately, while any postponement, abandonment, or scheduling inconsistency could shift it towards the 50-50 fallback.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia C… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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