Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1? | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1? | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1? | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1? | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 1% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons and PARIVISION are due to meet in the DreamLeague Season 29 play-offs in a best-of-three upper-bracket semi-final, with the series scheduled for 21 May. The market is close to even at 51% YES, which fits a matchup between two highly rated sides rather than a clear favourite. Falcons are listed as the world No 1 on GosuGamers, while PARIVISION are No 4, so the pricing is broadly consistent with a contest that should go to at least two maps if neither side gains an early draft edge.
Recent head-to-head results suggest the number can move quickly on form and patch read. PARIVISION beat Falcons 2-1 at DreamLeague Season 24 in November 2024, while the teams have also been matched in later DreamLeague and other top-tier events, including a May 2026 play-offs meeting already live on score trackers such as Hawk.Live and Sofascore. That leaves the current lean resting more on tournament state than on a stable head-to-head pattern: the next catalyst is simply whether the scheduled series starts on time and which side controls the draft, especially in a BO3 where one lost game does not decide the market.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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