Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Liquid are due to meet Xtreme Gaming in a best-of-three lower-bracket match at DreamLeague Season 29 playoffs. The market is trading at 0% yes, which implies either the match is already regarded as effectively decided by the crowd or liquidity has not yet arrived; in either case, a zero print should be read cautiously, because it does not reflect a real-time consensus in the way a fuller book would. On comparable Dota 2 playoff matches, odds can move sharply once line-ups are confirmed and the series goes live, especially when one side has a clear ranking edge — Liquid are listed at world No. 2 on GosuGamers, with Xtreme at No. 11.
The main catalyst is the live match itself, with the relevant question being whether the scheduled lower-bracket series is played to completion before the 21 May settlement window closes. GosuGamers listed the fixture for 20 May at 17:40 UTC, and ESL’s live broadcast schedule also includes Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming in the DreamLeague Season 29 playoffs, which supports the assumption that the match is intended to proceed. Traders should watch for any late schedule changes from ESL, bracket updates from DreamLeague coverage, and whether the series is completed in full, because an unplayed or heavily delayed match would push the market towards the 50-50 fallback rather than a team result.
Methodology
This page tracks Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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