Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Power Rangers | 0% Yellow Submarine |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% Yellow Submarine |
| Match Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% Yellow Submarine |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) | 0% Yellow Submarine | 100% Power Rangers |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The underlying event is a Lower Bracket quarterfinal 1 Dota 2 match between Power Rangers and Yellow Submarine at The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for 10:00 AM ET on 27 June 2026. With crowd-implied probability at 100% YES for Power Rangers, the market treats their victory as a certainty, mirroring historical cases where one team dominates a qualifier bracket after a significant roster or skill gap emerges. In past TI regional qualifiers, such as Europe’s 2024 Closed Qualifier, teams with established pro experience often secured 100% market confidence before matches began, as seen when Power Rangers previously swept lower-tier opponents in the Premier Series round-robin format [4].
Traders should monitor live score updates and any post-match declarations regarding roster changes or disqualifications, as these could invalidate the 100% certainty if the match is cancelled or delayed beyond seven days. Recent news from the tournament’s official feed confirms the match is underway, with Map 1 currently in progress and no score recorded yet [1]. The market leans on the catalyst of in-game performance, specifically whether Power Rangers maintain their lead through Map 2 and 3, as a single loss could trigger a 50-50 resolution if the match ends in a tie or is delayed. No external political or campaign-finance disclosures are relevant here, as the event is purely esports-focused, but any announcement from Liquipedia or the tournament organiser about schedule changes would be critical [4].
Methodology
This page tracks Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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