LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

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Active sub-markets

Market context

JD Gaming and Anyone’s Legend are set to meet in a best-of-five upper-bracket final in the China qualifier for the Esports World Cup. The market’s 0% crowd-implied probability is at odds with the published match listings, which give JD Gaming a clear edge: BO3.gg prices JD Gaming at 1.335 to win, with a 1.1 handicap on maps, and a separate market on the same fixture shows JD Gaming already 0-1 down in map score on Sheep Esports’ live page. That makes the price look more like a placeholder than a settled view of the series.

The best historical guide is the head-to-head and recent qualifier form, not the headline probability. Liquipedia and RFT.GG both show JD Gaming has already beaten Anyone’s Legend in this qualification cycle, including a 2-0 result in April and a 3-2 win in February, which suggests a competitive series rather than a one-sided match. For a Bo5, that matters: underdogs can take maps even when the match market leans one way, and JD Gaming’s shorter price implies the market expects them to control enough of the series to avoid an upset.

The main catalyst is whether the match proceeds on the current schedule and how the live bracket state develops, because the settlement window runs to late afternoon UTC. The Sheep Esports fixture page is the most immediate source to watch for official score and timing updates, while BO3.gg and Liquipedia indicate the event is still listed as an Esports World Cup China qualifier match rather than a cancelled or postponed tie. If the series is completed, map count and draft-side form will matter; if it slips beyond the seven-day window without a winner, the market would settle 50-50.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page tracks LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.