Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: VKS (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Vivo Keyd Stars face LOS in a League of Legends lower bracket first-round match within the CBLOL (Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends) playoffs, scheduled for 23 May at 12:00 PM ET. The best-of-five format determines advancement in Brazil's premier esports competition. The 0% implied probability suggests either incomplete market liquidity or strong consensus favouring one outcome, though the settlement window extends to 22:00 UTC on the scheduled date, allowing for typical match delays without triggering the tie-resolution clause.
Historical CBLOL lower bracket matchups between mid-tier organisations show considerable variance in seeding predictability. Vivo Keyd Stars and LOS occupy similar competitive tiers within the Brazilian ecosystem; neither franchise commands the institutional resources of top-four teams. Past seasons demonstrate that lower bracket encounters frequently hinge on recent form, roster stability, and meta adaptation rather than historical head-to-head records. Teams entering lower bracket play often display momentum shifts following upper bracket elimination, complicating straightforward favouritism assessments.
Traders should monitor official CBLOL scheduling confirmations and any roster announcements through the league's primary channels and team social media in the week preceding 23 May. Patch notes affecting champion viability may shift preparation priorities for either squad. Match delays beyond the seven-day window would trigger automatic 50-50 resolution; the settlement mechanism thus depends entirely on match completion within the specified timeframe. No recent high-profile roster changes or organisational disruptions have been publicly disclosed for either team as of early May.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs on PolyGram
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