Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
FUT Esports and Gentle Mates will contest the upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 in Valorant on 23 May at 16:00 UTC. The winner advances directly to the finals bracket, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket where a second chance remains available. The match format is best-of-five, meaning the first team to secure three map victories progresses.
FUT Esports have established themselves as consistent performers within the European Valorant circuit, regularly competing in franchise leagues and international qualifiers. Gentle Mates, by contrast, represent a less established roster within the competitive hierarchy, though regional qualifier tournaments frequently produce upsets when preparation and momentum align favourably. Historical precedent from prior Esports World Cup qualifiers suggests that seeding and prior league performance correlate strongly with match outcomes, though the single-elimination structure creates volatility. Teams entering from lower-tier regional competitions occasionally outperform expectations when facing higher-ranked opponents, particularly in best-of-five formats where map selection strategy becomes decisive.
The settlement window closes on 23 May at 21:00 UTC, providing a six-hour buffer beyond the scheduled 16:00 UTC start time. Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup communications for any fixture postponements or cancellations, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause if the match remains unplayed beyond seven days from the original date. Roster changes or last-minute substitutions announced within 24 hours of match time could shift competitive balance, though such occurrences remain uncommon in established qualifier tournaments.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esport… on PolyGram
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