US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
Yes 50%
No 50%
Vol. $147.5M
Politics prediction market · Vol. $1.2M
| Nicolás Maduro | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Reza Pahlavi | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Kim Jong Un | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Xi Jinping | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 100% YES | 0% NO |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The Polymarket market "Who will Trump talk to in April?" is currently trading at 0% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 0%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Politics markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 30 April 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly