Panama vs. England - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup Group L match between Panama and England takes place today at MetLife Stadium, with the game scheduled to kick off at 5:00 PM ET. This fixture determines whether the market resolves to a specific exact score, currently implied at a 3% probability for the "YES" outcome, while excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.

Historically, Panama’s World Cup record shows two qualifying appearances, with their 2018 debut yielding a heavy 6-1 defeat to England, a result that underscores the defensive vulnerability often seen against top-tier European sides [7]. Comparable group-stage encounters in recent tournaments suggest that exact scores involving a single goal margin are rare when a dominant team like England faces a lower-ranked opponent, making the current 3% crowd-implied probability a plausible reflection of this statistical scarcity [1].

Traders should monitor England’s pre-match training reports and any late lineup declarations, as Harry Kane’s availability remains a critical catalyst for goal-scoring dynamics [3]. Additionally, recent campaign-finance disclosures from the English Football Association regarding squad bonuses could influence player motivation, while Panama’s defensive adjustments following their loss to Ghana will be pivotal [5]. The market leans heavily on the pre-game lineup announcement, which serves as the primary catalyst for settlement clarity.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page tracks Panama vs. England - Exact Score across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?

Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.