Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Al Ittihad and Al Qadisiah were scheduled to meet in the Saudi Professional League on Thursday, with the market currently showing a 0% YES price, which is usually a sign that the contract is either not yet being updated or that traders are treating the outcome as effectively unavailable. On the football record, the fixture has not been close over a long sample: AiScore lists 17 Al Ittihad wins, 9 draws and 3 Al Qadisiah wins in 29 meetings since 2005, although Al Qadisiah won the most recent league match 2-1 in January 2026, a reminder that recent head-to-head form can diverge from the longer trend.
For traders, the main catalyst is the actual match status rather than any polling-style movement: line-ups, late injury news and whether the game kicks off as scheduled at King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah. FOX Sports and Flashscore both had the fixture listed for 21 May, while Sofascore showed the sides level on one game each in the current season and close together in the table, with Al Ittihad fifth and Al Qadisiah fourth. That makes the market more dependent on pre-match team news and any confirmed schedule change than on broad season-long comparisons.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club on PolyGram
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