Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Solana is trading in the mid-$80s, with recent market data clustering close to $86-87 and a one-year decline still near 49%, so the noon ET Binance close sits within a narrow, low-volatility band rather than a trending move. Historical fixes for SOL in recent days show repeated closes around the mid-$80s, while outside forecasts are mixed: Changelly’s May 2026 range centres on the high-$80s, and Binance’s own forecast page has SOL edging only slightly higher over the next week. Against that backdrop, a 0% implied price for a specific bracket points less to an expectation of a large move and more to the current market treating the exact settlement band as effectively unreachable.
The main catalyst is the 12:00 ET Binance one-minute candle close itself, so traders should watch whether price holds above the nearest bracket boundaries in the hours before settlement rather than any longer-dated Solana narrative. Polymarket’s live Solana price event is currently pricing the 80-90 range as the frontrunner, which is consistent with the broader spot picture around $86-87 and with the lack of an obvious volatility trigger before the close. In practical terms, the market is leaning on routine intraday movement, not a scheduled Solana announcement, so any last-minute shift would likely come from a broader crypto swing rather than project-specific news.
Methodology
This page tracks Solana price on May 22? across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Solana price on May 22? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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