2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Yes 50%
No 50%
Vol. $779.6M
Sports prediction market · Vol. $779.6M
| Spain | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| New Zealand | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Switzerland | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| England | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Team AM | — | |
| France | 58% YES | 42% NO |
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information f
The Polymarket market "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner" is currently trading at 50% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 50%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Sports markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 20 July 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly