Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
31% | 69% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
31% | 69% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Coritiba FBC (-1.5) | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| EC Bahia (-1.5) | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Coritiba FBC (-2.5) | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| EC Bahia (-2.5) | 2% YES | 99% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
Market context
Coritiba FBC will face EC Bahia in a Série A fixture on 25 May at 7:00 PM ET. The market is pricing additional betting options on this match at 12% implied probability, suggesting traders expect limited secondary market depth or ancillary prop availability relative to the primary match outcome.
Brazilian Série A matches typically generate substantial secondary-market activity, particularly for clubs with established supporter bases and media coverage. Coritiba, based in Curitiba, and Bahia, from Salvador, both command regional followings that historically support liquidity in extended betting markets. However, the current 12% probability reflects scepticism about whether bookmakers will release granular props—such as exact scorelines, player performance metrics, or corner-kick totals—ahead of kick-off. Comparable fixtures between mid-table Série A sides have shown variable market depth; clubs competing for European qualification or avoiding relegation typically attract fuller market coverage than those in mid-table positions with limited stakes in the final standings.
Traders should monitor Série A scheduling announcements and broadcaster decisions in the week preceding 25 May, as televised matches receive more comprehensive prop offerings than those with limited media exposure. Team news regarding injuries or suspensions, typically released 48–72 hours before fixture time, often triggers market expansion. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 25 May, allowing only post-match resolution. Confirmation of match status—whether it proceeds as scheduled or faces postponement due to weather or administrative factors—remains the primary catalyst affecting whether secondary markets materialise at all.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $167K.
Methodology
This page tracks Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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