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Central Arkansas vs. Florida State

How the prediction markets are pricing "Central Arkansas vs. Florida State" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $117K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
Florida State O/U 23.5100%
Florida State O/U 26.5100%
Florida State O/U 29.5100%
Florida State O/U 32.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 12.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Florida State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5100%
Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Florida State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Central Arkansas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Florida State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Central Arkansas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Florida State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Florida State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Central Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Central Arkansas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Florida State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Florida State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Florida State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 24.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 20.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 23.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 26.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 29.50%
Central Arkansas O/U 32.50%
Florida State O/U 35.50%
Central Arkansas 1H O/U 11.50%
Central Arkansas 1H O/U 13.50%
Central Arkansas 1H O/U 15.50%
Central Arkansas 2H O/U 11.50%
Central Arkansas 2H O/U 13.50%
Central Arkansas 2H O/U 15.50%
Florida State 2H O/U 12.50%
Florida State 2H O/U 14.50%
Florida State 2H O/U 16.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown0%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.50%
Pick-Six Scored0%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Central Arkansas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.50%
Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Central Arkansas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
Central Arkansas Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Florida State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Central Arkansas Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Central Arkansas vs. Florida State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.50%

Market context

Central Arkansas vs. Florida State — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Central Arkansas and Florida State, scheduled for September 26 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Arkansas" if Central Arkansas win the ga…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Central Arkansas vs. Florida State".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Central Arkansas vs. Florida State plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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