Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| O/U 37.5 | 85% |
| Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 76% |
| Liberty O/U 20.5 | 72% |
| O/U 43.5 | 68% |
| Liberty O/U 23.5 | 68% |
| O/U 41.5 | 67% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina | 65% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| O/U 47.5 | 55% |
| Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Jaylon Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Peyton Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kam Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deshawn Purdie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dominic Knicely: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deuce Bailey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jevon Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaden Allen-Hendrix: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Colton Hinton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Clayton Coppock: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makai Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tristian Gardner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darius Copeland: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Terron Kellman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamari Person: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Robby Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryce Randolph: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Karmello English: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Breyahn Townsend: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kelsey Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zeke Wimbush: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Goldie Lawrence: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cyrus Ellison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| O/U 51.5 | 43% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| Liberty O/U 32.5 | 40% |
| O/U 53.5 | 39% |
| Liberty O/U 29.5 | 39% |
| Liberty O/U 26.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| O/U 55.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| O/U 57.5 | 30% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 61.5 | 25% |
| Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 63.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 65.5 | 16% |
| O/U 67.5 | 15% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 5% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 85% chance of liberty vs. coastal carolina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Liberty and Coastal Carolina, scheduled for September 24 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game. …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $579K.
Methodology
This page tracks Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Trump Prediction provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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