Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
78% | 22% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
78% | 22% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| O/U 35.5 | 78% |
| Spread -1.5 | 76% |
| Spread -2.5 | 75% |
| O/U 37.5 | 74% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| O/U 39.5 | 68% |
| Florida International O/U 23.5 | 67% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| Spread -5.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| Spread -6.5 | 62% |
| O/U 41.5 | 61% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| Spread -8.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| O/U 45.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Florida International O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Florida International O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| O/U 47.5 | 47% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Spread -13.5 | 44% |
| O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 20.5 | 40% |
| Spread -14.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 37% |
| Spread -16.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 35% |
| Spread -17.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 32% |
| O/U 53.5 | 30% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 23.5 | 30% |
| Spread -20.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| 1H Moneyline | 28% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International | 23% |
| Spread -0.5 | 22% |
| O/U 57.5 | 22% |
| Spread -1.5 | 20% |
| Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Middle Tennessee O/U 32.5 | 18% |
| O/U 61.5 | 17% |
| Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| O/U 63.5 | 13% |
| O/U 65.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| O/U 67.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 7% |
| O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 73.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
Market context
Market consensus: 78% chance of middle tennessee vs. florida international. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Middle Tennessee and Florida International, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Middle Tennessee" if M…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $111K.
Methodology
This page tracks Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Trump Prediction provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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