Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 96% |
| O/U 37.5 | 95% |
| O/U 39.5 | 92% |
| O/U 41.5 | 89% |
| O/U 43.5 | 87% |
| San Diego State O/U 20.5 | 83% |
| O/U 45.5 | 82% |
| O/U 47.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| O/U 49.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 76% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Colorado State O/U 23.5 | 74% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| O/U 51.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 69% |
| O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 67% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 11.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 63% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 63% |
| O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| O/U 57.5 | 58% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Colorado State O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| 1H Moneyline | 53% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Colorado State O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 47% |
| O/U 61.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| San Diego State O/U 32.5 | 43% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Colorado State O/U 32.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| San Diego State O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Colorado State O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 41% |
| O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| O/U 65.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 67.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| San Diego State O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Colorado State O/U 35.5 | 30% |
| O/U 69.5 | 29% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 27% |
| Colorado State O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| O/U 71.5 | 25% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| O/U 73.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| O/U 75.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to san diego state vs. colorado state. In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Colorado State, scheduled for October 24 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for San Diego State vs. Colorado State plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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