Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -13.5 | 92% |
| O/U 34.5 | 92% |
| O/U 36.5 | 92% |
| Spread -16.5 | 91% |
| Spread -19.5 | 89% |
| O/U 38.5 | 89% |
| O/U 40.5 | 87% |
| Spread -17.5 | 86% |
| O/U 42.5 | 86% |
| Spread -20.5 | 83% |
| O/U 44.5 | 79% |
| Spread -23.5 | 78% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 78% |
| O/U 46.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Sam Houston O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| Spread -25.5 | 72% |
| Spread -26.5 | 71% |
| O/U 48.5 | 70% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| Spread -27.5 | 68% |
| O/U 50.5 | 67% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Spread -28.5 | 64% |
| Spread -29.5 | 62% |
| Texas Tech O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| Spread -30.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| O/U 52.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 58% |
| Spread -31.5 | 56% |
| O/U 54.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Sam Houston O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Spread -32.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -33.5 | 53% |
| Spread -34.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 52% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Texas Tech O/U 44.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 46% |
| Spread -35.5 | 45% |
| Spread -36.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 44% |
| Spread -37.5 | 43% |
| O/U 58.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| Spread -38.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 38% |
| Spread -39.5 | 37% |
| O/U 60.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| Spread -40.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| O/U 62.5 | 34% |
| Spread -41.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 32% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Spread -42.5 | 28% |
| O/U 64.5 | 28% |
| Spread -44.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| 2Q O/U 23.5 | 24% |
| O/U 66.5 | 22% |
| O/U 68.5 | 21% |
| Spread -48.5 | 19% |
| Spread -47.5 | 17% |
| O/U 70.5 | 16% |
| Spread -51.5 | 14% |
| O/U 72.5 | 14% |
| Spread -50.5 | 12% |
| O/U 74.5 | 12% |
| Spread -54.5 | 9% |
| Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech | 1% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 92% probability to sam houston vs. texas tech. In the upcoming college football game between Sam Houston and Texas Tech, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sam Houston" if Sam Houston win the game. This market w…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $82K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Sam Houston vs. Texas Tech plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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