Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
87% | 13% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
87% | 13% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 87% |
| O/U 37.5 | 81% |
| O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| O/U 43.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 62% |
| O/U 45.5 | 61% |
| O/U 47.5 | 57% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| South Carolina O/U 23.5 | 54% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Tennessee O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Tennessee O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Tennessee O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 48% |
| Tennessee 2H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Tennessee 1H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 47% |
| South Carolina O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina | 46% |
| O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| Tennessee O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| South Carolina O/U 32.5 | 46% |
| South Carolina O/U 35.5 | 46% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| South Carolina O/U 26.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 45% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Tennessee vs. South Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| South Carolina O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 53.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| O/U 55.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| South Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| O/U 57.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| O/U 59.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| O/U 61.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| O/U 63.5 | 20% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| O/U 67.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| O/U 75.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
Market context
The Tennessee vs. South Carolina prediction market currently prices this outcome at 87% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Tennessee and South Carolina, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game. This market will r…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $72K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Tennessee vs. South Carolina plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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