Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Beijing Guoan and Henan FC are scheduled to meet in the Chinese Super League on 23 May 2026, with kick-off at 7:35 AM ET. The market is currently pricing zero probability of additional betting markets materialising around this fixture, suggesting traders expect the standard match-day offerings to suffice or anticipate limited exchange activity for this particular pairing.
Historical precedent from Chinese Super League seasons shows that supplementary markets—such as exact scorelines, player performance props, or in-play derivatives—typically emerge only for high-profile fixtures involving Shanghai clubs, Guangzhou sides, or title-contention matches. Beijing Guoan and Henan FC, whilst established sides, rarely generate the secondary-market depth seen in marquee encounters. The 0% probability reflects this pattern: mid-table or lower-tier matchups in the CSL have consistently failed to attract enough liquidity for operators to justify launching extended market suites.
The settlement window closes on 23 May at 11:35 AM ET, roughly four hours after scheduled kick-off. Traders should monitor CSL fixture announcements and any last-minute schedule changes through official league communications, as postponements or rescheduling could alter market conditions. Additionally, watch for any unexpected commercial interest or sponsorship announcements tied to this match—though unlikely given the teams' current standing—which might signal heightened media attention and thus justify expanded betting options. The absence of scheduled pre-match declarations or promotional campaigns from either club suggests the baseline expectation of standard markets only.
Methodology
This page tracks Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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