Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Zhejiang and Shandong Taishan meet in the Chinese Super League, with the market effectively pricing in that there will be more than one goal-related outcome in the game. The crowd-implied probability of 100% suggests this is being treated as a near-certainty rather than a balanced over/under call. That fits the recent match history: the sides drew 2-2 in their last meeting in October 2025, while SoccerPunter and Sportsgambler both note a pattern of competitive, usually open contests, with six Shandong wins, two Zhejiang wins and two draws across the last ten head-to-heads cited by Sportsgambler.

For traders, the main catalyst is the live team context rather than any longer-term trend: ESPN lists Shandong as 7-2-3 and Zhejiang as 4-4-4 ahead of kick-off, which points to a stronger away side on form but not one that has been keeping games tight enough to rule out goals at both ends. Sofascore and ESPN both reflect the same fixture and give the latest head-to-head and odds set-up, while current previews on Sportsgambler and Scores24 lean on Zhejiang’s home resilience and Shandong’s recent away wins. The market is leaning most heavily on recent scoring frequency and the previous 2-2 draw, with any team news or late tactical change the main variable before settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page tracks Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.