Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Legacy and GamerLegion are due to meet in the IEM Atlanta 2026 play-offs in a best-of-three, with the market still showing 0% YES because the result has not yet been reflected rather than because the fixture lacks a clear favourite. Legacy arrive with the stronger recent run: the available match pages show a seven-match winning streak, including a playoff win over Natus Vincere and earlier victories over Astralis and M80. GamerLegion’s route has been steadier rather than dominant, with wins over Liquid and Astralis but an earlier loss to NAVI, which is why the pre-match pricing has leaned towards a close series rather than a one-sided outcome. In comparable elite LAN BO3s, the market usually moves sharply once veto information is known, especially when one side has a clearly favoured map and a reliable decider.
The main catalyst for traders is the confirmed map pool and whether Legacy can force the series onto Mirage, which one preview source has flagged as their preferred pick, while GamerLegion are associated with Ancient and Inferno as the decider. Dust2.us noted that the map order was not yet known, and that uncertainty remains the key variable in a match where both teams have beaten strong opposition. Watch for any late schedule changes, roster confirmations, or official veto release from ESL or the tournament broadcast, as those are the most likely triggers for a repricing before the 23:15 UTC settlement window closes.
Methodology
This page tracks Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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