Market statistics
- Total volume
- $797K
- 24h volume
- $796K
- Liquidity
- $699K
- Open interest
- $511K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
51% | 49% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
51% | 49% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Available prediction outcomes (90)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
#1
Game 1 Winner
▲ +50.4%
100%
Trade →
#2
O/U 2.5 Games
▲ +50.0%
100%
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#3
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#4
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#5
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#6
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#7
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#8
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#9
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#10
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#11
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#12
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#13
Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 2?
100%
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#14
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?
100%
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#15
Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?
100%
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#16
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?
90%
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#17
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#18
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#19
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#20
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#21
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#22
Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#23
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#24
Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#25
Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#26
Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#27
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#28
Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 2?
90%
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#29
Match Winner
▲ +1.5%
51%
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#30
Total Kills Over/Under 78.5 in Game 2?
51%
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#31
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#32
Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#33
Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#34
Total Kills Over/Under 72.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#35
Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#36
Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#37
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#38
Total Kills Over/Under 74.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#39
Total Kills Over/Under 77.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#40
Total Kills Over/Under 76.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#41
Ends in Daytime
▼ -2.5%
50%
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#42
Both Teams Beat Roshan
▲ +15.0%
50%
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#43
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
▲ +21.5%
50%
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#44
Any Player Ultra Kill
▲ +19.0%
50%
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#45
Ends in Daytime
▼ -2.5%
50%
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#46
Both Teams Beat Roshan
▲ +15.0%
50%
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#47
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
▲ +21.5%
50%
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#48
Any Player Ultra Kill
▲ +19.0%
50%
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#49
Ends in Daytime
▼ -2.5%
50%
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#50
Both Teams Beat Roshan
▲ +14.5%
50%
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#51
Both Teams Destroy Barracks
▼ -2.0%
50%
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#52
Any Player Ultra Kill
▼ -4.5%
50%
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#53
Any Player Rampage
▼ -6.0%
50%
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#54
First Blood in Game 1?
50%
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#55
First Blood in Game 2?
50%
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#56
Total Kills Over/Under 79.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#57
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#58
Total Kills Over/Under 88.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#59
Total Kills Over/Under 81.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#60
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#61
Total Kills Over/Under 82.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#62
Total Kills Over/Under 83.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#63
Total Kills Over/Under 84.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#64
Total Kills Over/Under 89.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#65
Total Kills Over/Under 87.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#66
Total Kills Over/Under 86.5 in Game 2?
50%
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#67
Any Player Rampage
▲ +22.5%
49%
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#68
Any Player Rampage
▲ +24.5%
49%
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#69
Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?
10%
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#70
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
1%
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#71
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
1%
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#72
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
1%
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#73
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?
1%
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#74
Game 2 Winner
▼ -48.4%
0%
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#75
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
▼ -20.0%
0%
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#76
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#77
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#78
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#79
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
0%
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#80
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#81
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#82
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#83
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#84
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#85
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#86
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#87
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#88
Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 1?
0%
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#89
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
#90
Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1?
0%
Trade →
Market context
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PARIVISION and BetBoom Team in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 14 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolv
Methodology
This page tracks Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like PolyGram provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2ember. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like PolyGram route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Which political events have the biggest volume?
- US Presidential election, party nominations (DNC/RNC), Senate majorities, individual state outcomes (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin), and major European elections. Peak markets reach $50-500M per event.
Trade Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeag… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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