Is this market available outside the US?

Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The Interna… — Live Market Consensus

Name: Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Start: 2026-06-22T09:33:54.396Z
End: 2026-06-22T19:50:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink	50%	50%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Open on Trump Prediction →
Polymarket polymarket.com	50%	50%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Open on Trump Prediction →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Open on Trump Prediction →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Open on Trump Prediction →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Open on Trump Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5)	50% Grind Back	50% Execration
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?	0% Over	100% Under
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?	100% Over	0% Under
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?	91% Over	10% Under
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?	0% Over	100% Under
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?	50% Over	50% Under

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: execration vs grind back (bo3) - the international southeast asia closed qualifier playoffs stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between Execration and Grind Back in the The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially schedu…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?: Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

Sarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writerand

James WilliamsPrediction Market Analyst

Trade Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The Interna… on Trump Prediction

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Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back (BO3) - The Interna… on Trump Prediction

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