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2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" across the four most-traded political prediction venues — live data, regulatory notes, every CTA to Trump Prediction.

28% YES 72% NO Volume: $1.3M Liquidity: $73K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Trump Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
28% 72% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Trump Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
28% 72% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Trump Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Trump Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Trump Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Trump Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Aryna Sabalenka28% YES73% NO
Coco Gauff8% YES92% NO
Elena Rybakina16% YES84% NO
Naomi Osaka1% YES99% NO
Madison Keys1% YES99% NO
Barbora Krejcikova1% YES99% NO

Market context

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no wi

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 28% probability for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)".

YES 28% NO 72%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.3M.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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