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Arizona vs. BYU

How the prediction markets are pricing "Arizona vs. BYU" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

Spread: BYU (-7.5) 100% Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Volume: $89K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Arizona vs. BYU

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread: BYU (-7.5)100%
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
1Q Moneyline100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
Arizona O/U 13.5100%
Arizona O/U 16.5100%
BYU O/U 21.5100%
BYU O/U 24.5100%
BYU O/U 27.5100%
Arizona 1H O/U 7.5100%
Arizona 1H O/U 9.5100%
Arizona 1H O/U 11.5100%
BYU 1H O/U 12.5100%
BYU O/U 3.5100%
BYU 1H O/U 11.5100%
BYU 1H O/U 13.5100%
BYU 2H O/U 11.5100%
BYU 2H O/U 13.5100%
BYU O/U 22.5100%
BYU O/U 25.5100%
4Q Spread -4.5100%
Arizona O/U 14.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
1H O/U 17.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
1H O/U 23.5100%
1H O/U 26.5100%
1H O/U 29.5100%
2H Spread -0.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q O/U 3.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 9.5100%
1Q O/U 12.5100%
1Q O/U 15.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q O/U 3.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
BYU O/U 23.5100%
BYU O/U 26.5100%
Kedrick Reescano: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tre Spivey: Anytime Touchdown50%
Quincy Craig: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Hunter: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cole Rusk: Anytime Touchdown50%
Noah Fifita: Anytime Touchdown50%
Gio Richardson: Anytime Touchdown50%
2Q Moneyline50%
LJ Martin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Bear Bachmeier: Anytime Touchdown50%
Legend Glasker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jojo Phillips: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyler Kasper: Anytime Touchdown50%
Walker Lyons: Anytime Touchdown50%
Devaughn Eka: Anytime Touchdown50%
Antwan Roberts: Anytime Touchdown50%
Preston Rex: Anytime Touchdown50%
Roger Saleapaga: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon Phelps: Anytime Touchdown50%
Rodney Gallagher III: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tiger Bachmeier: Anytime Touchdown50%
Reggie Frischknecht: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tei Nacua: Anytime Touchdown50%
Isaiah Mizell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tyler Powell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Arizona vs. BYU0%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 47.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -34.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
O/U 66.50%
O/U 68.50%
2H Moneyline0%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%
Arizona O/U 19.50%
Arizona O/U 22.50%
Arizona O/U 25.50%
BYU O/U 30.50%
BYU O/U 33.50%
BYU 1H O/U 14.50%
BYU 1H O/U 16.50%
Arizona O/U 2.50%
BYU 1H O/U 18.50%
BYU 1H O/U 15.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
BYU 2H O/U 15.50%
Arizona 2H O/U 7.50%
Arizona 2H O/U 9.50%
Arizona 2H O/U 11.50%
BYU O/U 28.50%
BYU O/U 31.50%
BYU O/U 34.50%
Arizona O/U 17.50%
Arizona O/U 20.50%
Arizona O/U 23.50%
Arizona O/U 26.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -11.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -25.50%
Spread -28.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
2H O/U 17.50%
2H O/U 20.50%
2H O/U 23.50%
2H O/U 26.50%
2H O/U 29.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q O/U 9.50%
3Q O/U 12.50%
3Q O/U 15.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
BYU O/U 29.50%
BYU O/U 32.50%
BYU O/U 35.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to arizona vs. byu. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona and BYU, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. This market will resolve to "BYU"…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread: BYU (-7.5) at 100% for "Arizona vs. BYU".

Spread: BYU (-7.5) 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $89K.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Arizona vs. BYU plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
How fast do political markets react to news?
High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
Sarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets WriterandJames WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market Analyst

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