🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

The Citadel vs. Charlotte

How the prediction markets are pricing "The Citadel vs. Charlotte" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

The Citadel vs. Charlotte 100% O/U 46.5 100% O/U 26.5 100% O/U 28.5 100% Volume: $60K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
Open live market →
The Citadel vs. Charlotte

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
The Citadel vs. Charlotte100%
O/U 46.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 48.5100%
O/U 50.5100%
O/U 52.5100%
O/U 54.5100%
O/U 56.5100%
O/U 58.5100%
O/U 60.5100%
O/U 62.5100%
O/U 64.5100%
O/U 66.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
Charlotte O/U 27.5100%
Charlotte O/U 30.5100%
Charlotte O/U 33.5100%
Charlotte O/U 36.5100%
Charlotte O/U 39.5100%
The Citadel O/U 7.5100%
The Citadel O/U 10.5100%
The Citadel O/U 13.5100%
The Citadel O/U 16.5100%
The Citadel O/U 19.5100%
The Citadel 1H O/U 4.5100%
The Citadel 1H O/U 6.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Moneyline100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 27.5100%
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
Charlotte O/U 28.5100%
Charlotte O/U 31.5100%
Charlotte O/U 34.5100%
Charlotte O/U 37.5100%
Charlotte O/U 40.5100%
1Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread: Charlotte (-15.5)0%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -34.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
The Citadel 1H O/U 8.50%
Charlotte 1H O/U 15.50%
Charlotte 1H O/U 17.50%
Charlotte 1H O/U 19.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%

Market context

The The Citadel vs. Charlotte prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If The Citadel wins, the market will resolve to "The Citadel". If Charlotte wins, the market will resolve to "Charlotte".…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices The Citadel vs. Charlotte at 100% for "The Citadel vs. Charlotte".

The Citadel vs. Charlotte 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $60K.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for The Citadel vs. Charlotte plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
How fast do political markets react to news?
High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
Sarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets WriterandJames WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market Analyst

Trade The Citadel vs. Charlotte on Trump Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Trump Prediction.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports