Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 99% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 99% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 99% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 99% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 99% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 99% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 23.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 99% |
| Spread -5.5 | 98% |
| Spread -10.5 | 98% |
| O/U 39.5 | 98% |
| Spread -3.5 | 97% |
| Spread -4.5 | 97% |
| Spread -6.5 | 97% |
| Spread -7.5 | 97% |
| Spread -9.5 | 97% |
| Spread -11.5 | 96% |
| Spread -13.5 | 95% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 95% |
| Spread -14.5 | 94% |
| O/U 45.5 | 94% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 94% |
| Spread -16.5 | 93% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| Spread -17.5 | 90% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 87% |
| Spread -20.5 | 84% |
| Spread -21.5 | 84% |
| O/U 41.5 | 83% |
| O/U 49.5 | 83% |
| O/U 51.5 | 83% |
| O/U 37.5 | 82% |
| O/U 47.5 | 82% |
| Spread -23.5 | 80% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 80% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 80% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 77% |
| Spread -24.5 | 76% |
| O/U 53.5 | 73% |
| Spread -18.5 | 71% |
| Spread -19.5 | 71% |
| O/U 43.5 | 70% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| Spread -27.5 | 68% |
| O/U 55.5 | 67% |
| Spread -22.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| O/U 57.5 | 61% |
| Spread -30.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| Spread -12.5 | 59% |
| Spread -26.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 56% |
| Spread -15.5 | 55% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 54% |
| Spread -25.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -33.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 59.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 47% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 45% |
| O/U 61.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| O/U 63.5 | 37% |
| O/U 65.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| Spread -36.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| O/U 67.5 | 31% |
| Spread -37.5 | 31% |
| O/U 71.5 | 28% |
| Spread -40.5 | 28% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 27% |
| O/U 73.5 | 26% |
| Spread -34.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| O/U 69.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 13% |
| O/U 75.5 | 8% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) | 1% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pittsburgh vs. miami (fl). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Miami (FL), scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $424K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2018%20Q%2016%204%2026%2010%20Q%2020%202%2032%206%20Q%2044%202%2038%2010%20Q%2048%204%2054%2018%22%20stroke%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20stroke-width%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22none%22%20stroke-linecap%3D%22round%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) on Trump Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →