Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Liaoning Tieren FC meet Qingdao Hainiu FC in the Chinese Super League, with the market currently implying no chance of any additional “more markets” outcome resolving Yes. The historical record points the same way: the clubs’ meetings have been low-scoring and often one-sided, with AiScore and WorldFootball showing Qingdao Hainiu ahead in the head-to-head and Liaoning struggling to turn games into high-event results. FotMob also notes Qingdao Hainiu have won the previous three meetings, which is the clearest comparable case for reading this market — past fixtures suggest a conservative baseline rather than an unusual burst of prop-heavy volatility.
For traders, the main catalyst is the match itself rather than any off-pitch development, so the relevant watchpoints are line-ups, late injuries, and whether either side changes approach from the recent head-to-head pattern. Sofascore has both teams near the lower half of the table, which usually reinforces a cautious pre-match read rather than expectations of a wider market cascade. The key dependency is whether early team-news changes the expected game state: if both sides name first-choice attacking players, secondary markets such as goals, corners, or cards are more likely to attract interest; if not, the 0% crowd price looks anchored to a low-variance, standard league fixture.
Methodology
This page tracks Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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