Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Legacy face TYLOO in a best-of-three upper-bracket semi-final at CS Asia Championships Group A, with the match listed for 20 May and the market currently sat at a 100% implied chance of a Legacy win. In practical terms, that level of pricing leaves almost no room for uncertainty about whether the series will be played and completed, so any late change in status, map schedule or team availability would be far more important than the market itself. Liquipedia’s event and team pages, alongside the official broadcast listings, confirm the fixture as part of the day’s playoff run-up.
For form context, TYLOO come into the event as one of the established Chinese names in Counter-Strike, while Legacy have already featured in recent CS Asia Championship coverage and reached the latter stages of the Group A run. Recent event reporting from Esports Insider noted Legacy’s strong group-stage start and progression into a later matchup against Team Liquid, which is the sort of route that usually points to a live playoff slot rather than a stopped or abandoned series. Historical read-throughs of similar group-stage BO3s in this event tend to hinge on whether both sides can field the same line-up on the day, rather than on any long-run reputation alone.
The main catalyst to watch is the published match schedule and whether the series begins on time, because the settlement rules say a cancellation, tie or delay beyond seven days would force a 50-50 result. The YouTube broadcast listings and the event pages are the most immediate indicators of whether the match remains on track, while the Polymarket market page itself is effectively leaning on the assumption that the contest will be completed as scheduled. If the start time slips or a team withdraws, that would matter more than any prior group result.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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