Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2? | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
The underlying event is a lower-bracket round two Dota 2 match between Enjoy and HULIGANI at The International Europe Closed Qualifier, scheduled for 4:00 AM ET on 26 June 2026. Strafe users currently favour Enjoy, allocating 62.9% of votes to their win versus 37.1% for HULIGANI, despite Enjoy’s unranked status and a 50% win rate across just two matches[1][6].
Historical precedents in TI qualifiers show that lower-bracket matches often defy pre-match rankings, with unranked teams frequently overturning odds through aggressive play or opponent fatigue. In the 2024 Europe Closed Qualifier, an unranked team won their lower-bracket decider after a 1–2 deficit, mirroring Enjoy’s current 1–1 record and volatile trajectory[1]. Such cases suggest the market’s 62.9% lean on Enjoy may overstate stability, as qualifier volatility remains a dominant catalyst.
Traders should monitor live score updates on GosuGamers and DLTV for early momentum shifts, as TI qualifiers often hinge on first-map outcomes[2][5]. Key dependencies include HULIGANI’s recent 1–2 loss streak and Enjoy’s ability to capitalise on lower-bracket pressure, with no live price yet reflecting the market’s uncertainty[1]. The primary catalyst is the match’s start time, with any delay beyond seven days triggering a 50-50 resolution, making timing a critical risk factor[2].
Methodology
This page tracks Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International … on Trump Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Trump Prediction →