Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Completed Match | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko Match O/U 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko Match O/U 23.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko | 100% Tatjana Maria | 0% Jelena Ostapenko |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko Set 2 Winner | 50% Maria | 50% Ostapenko |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 0% YES probability for Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko. This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Jelena Ostapenko in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatja…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $833K.
Methodology
This page tracks Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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