Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
FC Machida Zelvia face Urawa Red Diamonds in J1 League action at 10:30 UTC, with the market on the various “more” outcomes currently pricing no chance of a Yes result. The historical read is mixed rather than decisive: Machida beat Urawa 2-1 away in March 2026, but Urawa’s long-run record in this fixture is stronger, including a 7-1 Emperor’s Cup win in 2015. That sort of split is why totals and scoring-side markets have tended to move more on team news and line-ups than on the headline head-to-head.
The main catalyst to watch is the confirmed team news and whether either side alters its usual shape. ESPN’s live match page has Machida listed with Kosei Tani in goal and a front line built around Na Sang-ho, Yuki Soma and Tete Yengi, while Urawa’s attacking group includes Matheus Savio, Shoya Nakajima and Hiiro Komori. Sportsgambler’s preview also leaned towards under 2.5 goals, pointing to a relatively tight game rather than a wide-open one. With the crowd already at 0% Yes, any shift would likely need a late tactical change, an unexpected absence, or an early goal to change the scoring pattern.
Methodology
This page tracks FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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