Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
55% | 45% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
55% | 45% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5) | 15% YES | 85% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Dplus KIA and T1 face off in the upper bracket final of the League of Legends Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs on 25 May, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The match is a best-of-five series scheduled for 3:00 AM ET, pitting two of Korea's strongest organisations against each other in a high-stakes knockout fixture. The current 56% probability favouring Dplus KIA reflects modest confidence in their chances, suggesting the market views this as a closely contested matchup rather than a clear favourite scenario.
T1 enters as the historically dominant force in Korean League of Legends, with multiple world championships and consistent domestic success. However, Dplus KIA has emerged as a credible challenger in recent seasons, demonstrating competitive parity with T1 in regular season play. The 56-44 split indicates traders are pricing in T1's championship pedigree whilst acknowledging Dplus KIA's current form and roster strength. Recent LCK standings and head-to-head records from the 2024-2025 season will inform whether this probability reflects genuine competitive balance or undervalues either team's current trajectory.
Traders should monitor team roster announcements, scrim results leaked by Korean esports observers, and any last-minute scheduling changes prior to the 25 May fixture. Injury or substitution news affecting either team's key players—particularly mid and ADC positions—could shift the probability meaningfully. The settlement window closes at 13:00 UTC on match day, allowing only the morning broadcast window for resolution. Any technical issues or match delays extending beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution, a tail risk worth factoring given esports' occasional broadcast complications.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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