Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
T1 and Dplus KIA are scheduled to compete in a League of Legends best-of-three match during the LCK Rounds 1-2 on 10 May at 04:00 ET. The LCK is South Korea's premier professional League of Legends competition, and both organisations rank among the region's most established franchises. T1 holds the most world championship titles of any organisation in competitive League history, whilst Dplus KIA has consistently maintained top-four finishes in the LCK over recent seasons.
The 100% implied probability reflects the historical reliability of LCK match scheduling and completion. The LCK has maintained exceptionally consistent match delivery across multiple seasons, with cancellations or extended delays beyond the seven-day resolution window being extraordinarily rare. T1's infrastructure and Dplus KIA's operational standards both support high match completion rates. No recent disruptions to LCK operations have been reported by Riot Games or the league's official channels.
Traders should monitor for fixture changes or scheduling conflicts in the official LCK calendar, though such announcements are typically made weeks in advance. The primary resolution risk centres on technical failures during the match itself—specifically whether a match that begins but remains incomplete would trigger a forfeiture or replay. Dplus KIA's recent roster changes and T1's current form heading into this fixture could influence betting sentiment, but these factors do not materially affect the probability of the match occurring as scheduled.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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