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Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

How the prediction markets are pricing "Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

48% YES 52% NO Volume: $123K Liquidity: $49K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Trump Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
48% 52% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Trump Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
48% 52% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Trump Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Trump Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Trump Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Trump Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets48% Chicago Cubs53% New York Mets
NRFI55% YES46% NO
Spread -1.540% Chicago Cubs61% New York Mets
O/U 8.541% Over60% Under
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.545% Chicago Cubs55% New York Mets
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.545% New York Mets55% Chicago Cubs

Market context

Market consensus: 48% chance of chicago cubs vs. new york mets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and New York Mets, scheduled for June 22 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the gam…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 48% probability for "Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets".

YES 48% NO 52%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $123K.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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