New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The New York Yankees face the Milwaukee Brewers in an MLB regular-season matchup scheduled for 9 May at 7:10 PM ET, with settlement occurring by 16 May. The 0% implied probability suggests the market has not yet attracted substantive trading activity or reflects an expectation that resolution criteria may not be met as stated.

Historical MLB regular-season games between these franchises show competitive variance depending on roster composition and seasonal form. The Yankees and Brewers have comparable win-loss trajectories across recent seasons, with neither club establishing consistent dominance in head-to-head matchups. Early-season May fixtures typically reflect teams still establishing their competitive rhythm, making outcomes less predictable than mid-season contests. The settlement window extending a full week beyond the scheduled game date accounts for potential postponements due to weather or other operational factors common in early May baseball.

Key catalysts for market movement include roster availability disclosures, injury reports released in the days preceding the fixture, and weather forecasts for the scheduled venue. Recent pitching assignments and bullpen usage patterns from both clubs' preceding games will influence trader assessment of win probability. The market's current inactivity suggests traders are awaiting either clearer information on starting pitchers or more substantial liquidity before committing capital. Monitoring official MLB injury reports and weather services through 8 May will provide material information for position-taking.

Methodology

This page tracks New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.