Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Race to 10 | 100% |
| Race to 20 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 95.5 | 100% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Nuggets vs. Pacers | 99% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 99% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5 | 99% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 99% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 99% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 1.5 | 99% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 98% |
| Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| Spread -1.5 | 97% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 97% |
| Spread -4.5 | 96% |
| Spread -3.5 | 96% |
| Spread -5.5 | 95% |
| Spread -6.5 | 93% |
| Spread -7.5 | 92% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 92% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| Spread -8.5 | 90% |
| Spread -9.5 | 89% |
| Spread -10.5 | 89% |
| O/U 200.5 | 89% |
| O/U 202.5 | 88% |
| Spread -11.5 | 86% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 3.5 | 86% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 85% |
| Spread -12.5 | 84% |
| O/U 204.5 | 84% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 82% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 82% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5 | 80% |
| Spread -14.5 | 79% |
| O/U 206.5 | 79% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 78% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 9.5 | 77% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| O/U 208.5 | 74% |
| Spread -16.5 | 72% |
| O/U 210.5 | 72% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 1.5 | 71% |
| Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 70% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 70% |
| O/U 212.5 | 66% |
| Spread -18.5 | 66% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 64% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 63% |
| O/U 214.5 | 61% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| Spread -20.5 | 60% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 59% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 58% |
| O/U 216.5 | 56% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 56% |
| Christian Braun: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 55% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 218.5 | 52% |
| Spread -22.5 | 52% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 52% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Cameron Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 51% |
| Christian Braun: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 101.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Gordon: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 48% |
| O/U 220.5 | 47% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Spread -24.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| O/U 222.5 | 40% |
| Team to Score First | 40% |
| Spread -26.5 | 39% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 34% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Spread -28.5 | 33% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| O/U 224.5 | 32% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Spread -30.5 | 27% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 226.5 | 25% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5 | 23% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| O/U 228.5 | 21% |
| Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Spread -32.5 | 20% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Spread -34.5 | 19% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| O/U 229.5 | 19% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 18% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 17% |
| Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| O/U 230.5 | 16% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Christian Braun: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Christian Braun: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| O/U 232.5 | 12% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Cameron Johnson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 13.5 | 11% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 234.5 | 10% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 7% |
| O/U 236.5 | 6% |
| O/U 238.5 | 5% |
| O/U 240.5 | 5% |
| Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| Spread -15.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| O/U 244.5 | 3% |
| O/U 248.5 | 3% |
| Spread -9.5 | 3% |
| O/U 250.5 | 3% |
| O/U 252.5 | 3% |
| O/U 254.5 | 3% |
| Spread -1.5 | 2% |
| O/U 242.5 | 2% |
| Spread -3.5 | 2% |
| O/U 246.5 | 2% |
| Spread -7.5 | 2% |
| O/U 256.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 2% |
| Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Nuggets vs. Pacers. In the upcoming NBA game between Nuggets and Pacers, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Nuggets win, th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.7M.
Methodology
This page tracks Nuggets vs. Pacers across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Trump Prediction provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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