Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Rockets vs. Bucks | 100% |
| Race to 10 | 100% |
| Race to 20 | 100% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Clint Capela: Points O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| Clint Capela: Points O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Clint Capela: Points O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 99% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 99% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 99% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 98% |
| Spread -2.5 | 98% |
| Spread -3.5 | 98% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 98% |
| Spread -4.5 | 97% |
| Spread -5.5 | 97% |
| O/U 204.5 | 97% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 97% |
| O/U 206.5 | 96% |
| Spread -7.5 | 95% |
| Spread -6.5 | 94% |
| Spread -8.5 | 94% |
| O/U 202.5 | 94% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 94% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 93% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.5 | 93% |
| Spread -9.5 | 92% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 92% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 92% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 92% |
| O/U 210.5 | 91% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 91% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 3.5 | 91% |
| Spread -10.5 | 89% |
| O/U 208.5 | 86% |
| Spread -12.5 | 85% |
| Spread -11.5 | 84% |
| O/U 212.5 | 84% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| Spread -13.5 | 76% |
| O/U 214.5 | 75% |
| O/U 216.5 | 65% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 24.5 | 56% |
| Race to 30 | 53% |
| Spread -17.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 53% |
| Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| O/U 218.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Reed Sheppard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Clint Capela: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Clint Capela: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kel'el Ware: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kel'el Ware: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kel'el Ware: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 97.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Rockets O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Reed Sheppard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kasparas Jakucionis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 49% |
| Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| Spread -27.5 | 49% |
| Spread -29.5 | 49% |
| Spread -31.5 | 49% |
| Spread -33.5 | 49% |
| Spread -35.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| O/U 220.5 | 43% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| Spread -15.5 | 36% |
| O/U 222.5 | 31% |
| O/U 224.5 | 30% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 30% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Spread -19.5 | 25% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5 | 22% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -21.5 | 19% |
| O/U 226.5 | 19% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Spread -23.5 | 18% |
| Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Kel'el Ware: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| O/U 234.5 | 15% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| O/U 232.5 | 9% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| O/U 228.5 | 8% |
| O/U 240.5 | 7% |
| O/U 236.5 | 6% |
| O/U 230.5 | 5% |
| O/U 238.5 | 5% |
| O/U 250.5 | 2% |
| O/U 252.5 | 2% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 2% |
| O/U 254.5 | 1% |
| O/U 256.5 | 0% |
| O/U 258.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 94.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 48.5 | 0% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 50.5 | 0% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 61.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of rockets vs. bucks. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:00PM ET: If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.9M.
Methodology
This page tracks Rockets vs. Bucks across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Trump Prediction provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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