Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
89% | 11% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 89% |
| O/U 200.5 | 88% |
| Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 88% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 14.5 | 87% |
| O/U 202.5 | 86% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 86% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 85% |
| O/U 204.5 | 83% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 81% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 81% |
| O/U 206.5 | 80% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 9.5 | 80% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 77% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| O/U 208.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 73% |
| O/U 210.5 | 72% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| O/U 212.5 | 69% |
| Cedric Coward: Points O/U 9.5 | 69% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 19.5 | 67% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 65% |
| O/U 214.5 | 64% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 63% |
| O/U 216.5 | 59% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 56% |
| O/U 218.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 55% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Grizzlies O/U 115.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| Zach Edey: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| Raptors O/U 115.5 | 52% |
| Raptors O/U 113.5 | 52% |
| Grizzlies O/U 111.5 | 52% |
| Raptors O/U 117.5 | 52% |
| Raptors O/U 119.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 52% |
| Grizzlies O/U 105.5 | 52% |
| Raptors O/U 105.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 52% |
| Grizzlies O/U 114.5 | 52% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 51% |
| Grizzlies O/U 109.5 | 51% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Grizzlies O/U 117.5 | 51% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 63.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Raptors O/U 123.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 51% |
| Raptors O/U 112.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 220.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Zach Edey: Points O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Zach Edey: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zach Edey: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zach Edey: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zach Edey: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cam Spencer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| Raptors O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Cedric Coward: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jerami Grant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Raptors 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Grizzlies 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Cameron Boozer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Shead: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 49% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Raptors O/U 109.5 | 49% |
| Grizzlies O/U 107.5 | 49% |
| Grizzlies O/U 121.5 | 49% |
| Raptors O/U 103.5 | 49% |
| Raptors O/U 127.5 | 49% |
| Grizzlies O/U 125.5 | 49% |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors | 48% |
| Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 48% |
| Grizzlies O/U 113.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 48% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| Raptors 1H O/U 61.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 48% |
| Grizzlies O/U 119.5 | 48% |
| Raptors O/U 107.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 48% |
| Grizzlies O/U 123.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 71.5 | 48% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Steals O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Overtime? | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Grizzlies O/U 101.5 | 46% |
| O/U 222.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| O/U 229.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Team to Score First | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| O/U 224.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| O/U 226.5 | 38% |
| Cedric Coward: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Jerami Grant: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| O/U 227.5 | 35% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| Cameron Boozer: Assists O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 24.5 | 33% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| O/U 228.5 | 32% |
| Zach Edey: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Grizzlies 1H O/U 58.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| O/U 230.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 28% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 231.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 232.5 | 24% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 23% |
| Ty Jerome: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| O/U 234.5 | 21% |
| Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| RJ Barrett: Points O/U 29.5 | 21% |
| Ty Jerome: Points O/U 29.5 | 21% |
| Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Zach Edey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 19% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Cedric Coward: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Zach Edey: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| O/U 236.5 | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 17% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| Cameron Boozer: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 15% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 15% |
| O/U 238.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -30.5 | 14% |
| Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Jaylen Wells: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| O/U 240.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 12% |
| Ja'Kobe Walter: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| Spread -15.5 | 11% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 11% |
| O/U 242.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| Spread -18.5 | 9% |
| Cam Spencer: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 9% |
| Zach Edey: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| O/U 244.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Zach Edey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| O/U 246.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| O/U 248.5 | 5% |
| Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| O/U 250.5 | 4% |
| O/U 252.5 | 4% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 4% |
| Spread -26.5 | 3% |
| O/U 256.5 | 3% |
| Spread -23.5 | 3% |
| Spread -28.5 | 3% |
| O/U 254.5 | 2% |
| Spread -25.5 | 2% |
Market context
Market consensus: 89% chance of grizzlies vs. raptors. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game between Grizzlies and Raptors, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): I…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.3M.
Methodology
This page tracks Grizzlies vs. Raptors across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Trump Prediction provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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