Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 193.5 | 94% |
| O/U 191.5 | 94% |
| O/U 195.5 | 92% |
| O/U 197.5 | 91% |
| O/U 199.5 | 88% |
| Spread -2.5 | 87% |
| O/U 201.5 | 85% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5 | 84% |
| Spread -4.5 | 82% |
| O/U 203.5 | 82% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| Spread -6.5 | 79% |
| O/U 205.5 | 79% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| O/U 207.5 | 75% |
| Spread -8.5 | 73% |
| O/U 209.5 | 71% |
| Spread -9.5 | 70% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 211.5 | 68% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Spread -10.5 | 67% |
| Spread -11.5 | 66% |
| O/U 213.5 | 64% |
| Spread -12.5 | 62% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| O/U 215.5 | 61% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5 | 61% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 61% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 60% |
| Spread -13.5 | 57% |
| O/U 217.5 | 56% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| Spread -14.5 | 55% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5 | 53% |
| O/U 219.5 | 52% |
| Spread -15.5 | 52% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5 | 52% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| O/U 220.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 221.5 | 48% |
| Spread -16.5 | 48% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Brayden Burries: Assists O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 223.5 | 44% |
| Spread -17.5 | 44% |
| Landry Shamet: Points O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Brayden Burries: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Spread -18.5 | 41% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -19.5 | 39% |
| Landry Shamet: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| O/U 225.5 | 38% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -20.5 | 36% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| O/U 227.5 | 33% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 8.5 | 33% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 33% |
| Spread -22.5 | 31% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 229.5 | 30% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 30% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.5 | 30% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| O/U 231.5 | 27% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Spread -24.5 | 26% |
| Andre Drummond: Points O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Brayden Burries: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | 25% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 21.5 | 25% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 | 25% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| Myles Turner: Assists O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| O/U 233.5 | 23% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 23% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Brayden Burries: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -26.5 | 22% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.5 | 22% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| O/U 235.5 | 19% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| O/U 237.5 | 17% |
| Spread -28.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Landry Shamet: Points O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| O/U 239.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Brayden Burries: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| O/U 241.5 | 13% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Spread -30.5 | 11% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 11% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Brayden Burries: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Bucks vs. Knicks | 10% |
| Spread -42.5 | 10% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Spread -32.5 | 9% |
| O/U 243.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -40.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Spread -1.5 | 8% |
| Spread -5.5 | 8% |
| O/U 245.5 | 8% |
| Spread -36.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Brayden Burries: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Myles Turner: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -34.5 | 7% |
| Spread -38.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Brayden Burries: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Spread -3.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 6% |
| Spread -11.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.5 | 6% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 34.5 | 6% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| O/U 247.5 | 5% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
Market context
Bucks vs. Knicks — current market-implied probability: 94%. In the upcoming NBA game between Bucks and Knicks, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Bucks win, the ma…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $69K.
Methodology
This page tracks Bucks vs. Knicks across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Trump Prediction provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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