Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 96% |
| O/U 205.5 | 94% |
| O/U 207.5 | 93% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 92% |
| O/U 209.5 | 91% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 90% |
| O/U 211.5 | 88% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 88% |
| 76ers O/U 104.5 | 87% |
| O/U 213.5 | 85% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 3.5 | 85% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 85% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 85% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 84% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| 76ers O/U 106.5 | 83% |
| O/U 215.5 | 82% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 9.5 | 82% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| Cavaliers O/U 104.5 | 81% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 3.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 80% |
| O/U 217.5 | 79% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| O/U 219.5 | 76% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 76% |
| O/U 221.5 | 73% |
| Cavaliers O/U 112.5 | 73% |
| Cavaliers O/U 110.5 | 73% |
| 76ers O/U 110.5 | 72% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 71% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 70% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 70% |
| O/U 223.5 | 69% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 69% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 67% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 9.5 | 67% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 66% |
| 76ers O/U 112.5 | 66% |
| O/U 225.5 | 65% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 65% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 64% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| Cavaliers O/U 106.5 | 63% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 62% |
| Cavaliers O/U 102.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 61% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 55.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 61% |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | 60% |
| O/U 227.5 | 60% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 57.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 60% |
| Cavaliers O/U 108.5 | 60% |
| O/U 228.5 | 59% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 59% |
| 76ers O/U 114.5 | 59% |
| 76ers O/U 108.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 58% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 56.5 | 58% |
| O/U 229.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 59.5 | 55% |
| O/U 230.5 | 54% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 54% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 54% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| O/U 231.5 | 52% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 76ers O/U 116.5 | 52% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 52% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Cavaliers O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 51% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mario Hezonja: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| Mario Hezonja: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Cavaliers O/U 115.5 | 48% |
| O/U 233.5 | 47% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 47% |
| Mario Hezonja: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| 76ers O/U 118.5 | 45% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 61.5 | 45% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 44% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 18.5 | 43% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 43% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 60.5 | 43% |
| O/U 235.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 41% |
| Cavaliers O/U 118.5 | 41% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 63.5 | 41% |
| 76ers O/U 126.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 71.5 | 41% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| Cavaliers O/U 120.5 | 40% |
| Cavaliers O/U 122.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| O/U 237.5 | 38% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 4.5 | 38% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 38% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| 76ers O/U 120.5 | 38% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| 76ers O/U 128.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 39.5 | 36% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 17.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 34.5 | 34% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 62.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 34% |
| O/U 239.5 | 33% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 33% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| 76ers O/U 122.5 | 33% |
| Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 23.5 | 32% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 32% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 32% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Points O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5 | 31% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 | 31% |
| O/U 241.5 | 30% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 29.5 | 30% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 30% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 18.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| O/U 243.5 | 28% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 28% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Cavaliers O/U 116.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| 76ers O/U 124.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5 | 26% |
| Mario Hezonja: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5 | 24% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| LeBron James: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| O/U 245.5 | 23% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 23% |
| Spread -12.5 | 22% |
| O/U 247.5 | 22% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 22% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 21% |
| Cavaliers O/U 124.5 | 21% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 20% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 19% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| LeBron James: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| O/U 249.5 | 17% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Cavaliers O/U 126.5 | 17% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 16% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| O/U 251.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -11.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 14% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 14% |
| O/U 253.5 | 13% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 12% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Points O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 12% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Spread -18.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| O/U 255.5 | 11% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| O/U 257.5 | 10% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 10% |
| Spread -15.5 | 9% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| LeBron James: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 9% |
| Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 259.5 | 8% |
| LeBron James: Assists O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -22.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Assists O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Spread -30.5 | 4% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -26.5 | 3% |
| Spread -21.5 | 3% |
| Spread -23.5 | 3% |
| Spread -28.5 | 2% |
| Spread -25.5 | 2% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, 76ers vs. cavaliers stands at 96% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game between 76ers and Cavaliers, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $494K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for 76ers vs. Cavaliers plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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