Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 201.5 | 93% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 91% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 91% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 91% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 90% |
| O/U 203.5 | 89% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 89% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 1.5 | 89% |
| O/U 205.5 | 88% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 86% |
| O/U 207.5 | 85% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 84% |
| Suns O/U 97.5 | 83% |
| Spurs O/U 106.5 | 83% |
| O/U 209.5 | 82% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 14.5 | 82% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 81% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 80% |
| O/U 211.5 | 79% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 79% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 79% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| Spurs O/U 108.5 | 78% |
| Spurs vs. Suns | 77% |
| Spurs O/U 112.5 | 77% |
| Suns O/U 99.5 | 77% |
| O/U 213.5 | 76% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 76% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 76% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 75% |
| Spread -1.5 | 74% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 74% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| Spurs O/U 110.5 | 73% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Assists O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 72% |
| Suns O/U 101.5 | 72% |
| Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| O/U 215.5 | 71% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 71% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| Spread -3.5 | 70% |
| 1H Moneyline | 70% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 70% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| O/U 217.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| Spread -4.5 | 67% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 67% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 67% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 56.5 | 67% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 66% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 65% |
| Suns O/U 103.5 | 65% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 19.5 | 64% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 64% |
| Suns 1H O/U 52.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| O/U 219.5 | 63% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 58.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| Spurs O/U 114.5 | 60% |
| O/U 221.5 | 59% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 59% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 58% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| Suns 1H O/U 54.5 | 58% |
| Suns O/U 105.5 | 58% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| Keldon Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 57% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 55% |
| O/U 223.5 | 54% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 54% |
| Spread -8.5 | 53% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| Spurs O/U 116.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 52% |
| Suns O/U 107.5 | 52% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Suns 1H O/U 55.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 49% |
| Suns O/U 108.5 | 49% |
| Spread -9.5 | 48% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| Overtime? | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 48% |
| O/U 226.5 | 47% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| Spurs O/U 118.5 | 46% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| O/U 227.5 | 45% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 45% |
| Suns O/U 109.5 | 45% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 | 44% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| O/U 228.5 | 43% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 43% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Suns 1H O/U 56.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| O/U 229.5 | 42% |
| Spread -11.5 | 42% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Spurs O/U 120.5 | 40% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 62.5 | 40% |
| Spread -12.5 | 39% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 39% |
| Suns O/U 111.5 | 39% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| O/U 231.5 | 37% |
| Spread -13.5 | 37% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 37% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 37% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 16.5 | 36% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 36% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Points O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Suns 1H O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 61.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 35% |
| Spurs O/U 122.5 | 35% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5 | 34% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| O/U 233.5 | 33% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 33% |
| Suns O/U 113.5 | 33% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 32% |
| Spread -15.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 30% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 29% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 29% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 29% |
| O/U 235.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Suns O/U 115.5 | 28% |
| Spurs O/U 124.5 | 28% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| O/U 237.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Suns 1H O/U 60.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Keldon Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| Spread -17.5 | 25% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 25% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 24% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Suns O/U 117.5 | 23% |
| Spurs O/U 126.5 | 23% |
| O/U 239.5 | 22% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 22% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Spread -19.5 | 21% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| O/U 241.5 | 19% |
| Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 18% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Suns O/U 119.5 | 17% |
| Spurs O/U 128.5 | 17% |
| O/U 243.5 | 16% |
| Spread -21.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 15% |
| O/U 245.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 14% |
| Spread -23.5 | 13% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Points O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Suns O/U 121.5 | 13% |
| O/U 247.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Spurs O/U 130.5 | 12% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 11% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 11% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -25.5 | 10% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 10% |
| O/U 249.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Spread -27.5 | 9% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 9% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| O/U 251.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 8% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5 | 8% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| 1Q O/U 71.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 8% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 7% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 7% |
| Keldon Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| O/U 253.5 | 6% |
| Spread -29.5 | 6% |
| O/U 257.5 | 6% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 39.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 6% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| O/U 255.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 5% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Spread -12.5 | 4% |
| Spread -31.5 | 4% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Points O/U 14.5 | 4% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Keldon Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
| Spread -33.5 | 3% |
| Spread -35.5 | 3% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Oso Ighodaro: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Spread -18.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 1% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 10.5 | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 93% YES probability for Spurs vs. Suns. In the upcoming NBA game between Spurs and Suns, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Spurs win, the market…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $648K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Spurs vs. Suns plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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